The next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin is emerging as a key moment in international politics. According to Alfredo Jalife-Rahme, geopolitical analyst, this encounter could not only accelerate the outcome of the war in Ukraine, but also lay the foundations of a new global balance.
One of the most commented points is the contradictory version on who took the first step for the meeting. While Trump's press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, says it was Putin who requested the meeting, the Kremlin advisor, Yuri Ushakov, says otherwise. Beyond this detail, Jalife-Rahme emphasizes that the meeting is the reflection of a mutual need to redefine strategic positions.
In the case of Ukraine, the analyst considers that President Volodimir Zelenski has become a “hot potato” for the United States, with an increasingly relevant role in negotiations. The future of the president, according to Jalife-Rahme, will be conditioned by the agreements that Trump and Putin can reach behind closed doors.
Among the rumors surrounding the summit, there is talk of a secret proposal of Trump that would include a high immediate fire, the recognition of the territories occupied by Russia, the elimination of sanctions and the return of Russian oil and gas to the global market. However, this agreement would not imply stop the expansion of NATO, an issue that would continue to generate friction with Moscow.
The encounter would also open a key chapter in geoeconomy: the growing influence of the BRICs and the progress of defolarization. Jalife-Rahme warns that this process is already a cause for concern for Washington, challenging the central role of the dollar in international trade.
Another front of interest is the Arctic. Russia and the United States could explore joint investments in rare earths and other strategic resources in the region, a step that, if specified, would have a significant impact on supply chains and the technological market. Likewise, the lifting of secondary sanctions to Russia would open the door to the return of Russian oil to the world supply, with direct effects on energy and inflation prices.
The meeting between Trump and Putin, in short, not only has diplomatic and military implications. It could also reconfigure commercial flows, the energy map and the rules of the global economy.
